U.S. and allied sanctions are having an impact on Iran. Iranian leaders feel the heat and are retaliating by demonstrating preparedness for a fight. They continue to lash out verbally at Israel. They support the Hezbollah and appear to be complicit in the attacks on Israelis in Bulgaria.
I would not characterize former CIA Director Hayden a hawk, though I would characterize Frederick H. Fleitz that way.
“Frederick H. Fleitz, Jr. (born 1962) is Managing Editor of LIGNET.com, an acronym for the Langley Intelligence Group Network, Newsmax Media’s global forecasting and intelligence website. He began this project in May 2011 after a 25-year career with the Central Intelligence Agency, Defense Intelligence Agency, Department of State, and the U.S. House of Representatives Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.”
Since I have been quoting from Newsmax and LIGNET.com lately, it is important to let readers know that this is a conservative operation that uses scare headlines to make news.
“Fred Fleitz is a former CIA analyst who served as chief of staff to John Bolton in the State Department and as a Republican staffer on the House Intelligence Committee.”
Hawks are ready to rule out diplomacy. The seem to be itching for Israel to strike Iran and to join the fight. Israel isn’t likely to take any offensive action until after the U.S. election, though some retaliation may be expected in response to the attack by Hezbollah in Bulgaria. Await the day when the world awakes to discover that chief Iranians and Hezbollah leaders are found dead somewhere. That is likely to be the first news scenario.
A better scenario for the long run would be for American and allied intelligence forces to infiltrate Iran and with support from Iranians who oppose the current regime. Such infiltration should solicit the active involvement of Iranian immigrants.
From the U.S. census, in 2010, the number of self-identified Iranian Americans in the US was 448,722. From Wiki, according to Census 2000, 50.9 percent of Iranian immigrants have attained a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared to 28.0 percent national average. According to the latest census data available, more than one in four Iranian-Americans holds a master’s or doctoral degree, the highest rate among 67 ethnic groups studied. Most are now citizens of the USA.
Of course Iranians have immigrated to many other countries in the world and many are considered to be in exile or refugees. Working with allies, Americans and Iranian participants could assist Iranian citizens to develop an opposition force.
Doing that assumes that a considerable population inside Iran would be opposed to current the theocracy and leadership.
There would be a public and secret dimension to such actions, and so far, there doesn’t appear to be much action on that front.
“Empowering Iran’s opposition
To facilitate regime change from within Iran, it is critical to remove the terrorist designation from the MEK, and to protect and resettle its members.
By Raymond Tanter | Jun.08, 2012 |
To facilitate regime change from within Iran requires a dissident organization with the same sort of leadership skills that helped create a coalition to overthrow the shah of Iran. Only one viable group that rejects clerical rule in Iran remains from the days of the Islamic Revolution – the Iraq-based Mujahideen-e-Khalq, the largest group within the National Council of Resistance of Iran (the Paris-based parliament-in-exile ). Together, only the MEK and the NCRI have the expertise and means to lead political change in Iran. Consider the role the MEK has played in bringing about inspections and sanctions, as well as what it offers for the present and future Iran.
“Fmr. CIA Director Hayden: Iran Nuclear Crisis Gets ‘Scarier’
Former CIA Director General Michael Hayden delivered a disturbing message during a LIGNET intelligence panel discussion on the serious threat a nuclear Iran poses to the United States.
“Every time you turn the page, it gets scarier,” the former CIA director said during the exclusive briefing provided by LIGNET, Newsmax’s new global intelligence and forecasting online service
Amid intelligence reports suggesting that Israel may be striking Iran soon — and that U.S. forces are increasing in the region — the LIGNET Iran Crisis Briefing uncovered what lies ahead for Israel, the U.S. and the implications for the world economy.
This briefing has just been completed and you can access the latest, best available information on this subject.
Joining Gen. Hayden for the online briefing were Arnaud de Borchgrave, famed journalist and a global threat expert with the Center for Strategic International Studies (CSIS), and former CIA senior analyst and LIGNET managing editor Fred Fleitz. The briefing was moderated by Thomas Sanderson, a senior fellow with CSIS.
De Borchgrave offered a dire prediction when asked how oil prices will be affected by an attack on Iran, which has already threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil shipping channel.
And Fleitz says diplomacy is no longer an option. He says negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program are “in trouble” with “no prospect for breakthrough” and Iran “wants to wipe Israel off the face of the earth.”