Forecast discussion: A weak area of low pressure to our west helped create some showers for the southern half of Rhode Island during the early evening. We may see an isolated shower or thunderstorm.
On Monday, it may be the only day this week where we have sunshine for the entire day. High pressure over Ohio will bring some dry air over the state. By Monday night, more moisture returns thanks to a weak front moving into the Ohio River Valley. Also, with a deep long wave trough in the upper levels of the atmosphere, it will allow upper level disturbances to move quickly into our atmosphere. This will help keep the chance of showers or a thunderstorm right into Thursday evening.
By Friday, a weak area of high pressure will bring some sunshine back on Thursday and Friday. But, any daytime heating could help trigger some showers. The weekend continues to be tough to forecast. Many computer models cannot come to an agreement on the weather pattern. The American and European models agree that we should see sunshine on Saturday, and another low approaching us for Sunday. But, the United Kingdom model keeps a weaker high over us on Friday, allowing the system to move towards New England on Saturday. That would give us rain showers by Saturday evening. For now, I will keep mostly sunny skies in the forecast for Saturday, as the majority of the models do agree on this forecast. We will see showers and thunderstorms arriving by early Sunday morning.
In the tropics, there are no areas of development being watched by the National Hurricane Center. However, a strong tropical wave will bring possible flooding to Puerto Rico in the next couple of days.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with an isolated shower or thunderstorm and a low of 62. Patchy fog is expected after midnight.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny during the day. We will see a high of 78. Winds will turn to the southeast at 7-10 mph.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 63. Winds will come from the south-southeast at 3-6 mph. Patchy fog will develop once again.
Tuesday: Partly sunny with a high of 79.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with isolated showers and a low of 64.
Wednesday: Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms with a high of 82.
Wednesday night: Isolated showers ending before sunrise with a low of 66.
Thursday: Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs 82-85, lows 65-68.
Friday: Partly sunny through the day, with clouds increasing with evening showers. Highs 83-86, lows 64-67.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 84-87, lows 67-70.
Sunday: Cloudy skies with early morning showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 84-87, lows 65-68.